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The 2025 PFL World Tournament rages on this week, as the welterweights and featherweight touch gloves in an effort to get one step closer to glory. It’s the 2025 PFL World Tournament semifinals, where big names such as Jason Jackson and Jesus Pinedo will try to advance.
The main card features some epic battles, while the Prelims will offer a chance for several other fighters to prove their worth. Our PFL and UFC picks aim to please, as this guide breaks down the latest PFL World Tournament 5 odds, highlights the top bets, and gives you our full fight predictions.
Let’s first take a look at how you can watch PFL World Tournament 5 this week, and then work our way to the best bets for the semifinals.
How To Watch PFL World Tournament 5?
The PFL World Tournament 5 prelims can be viewed on ESPN+, while the main card can be seen on both ESPN+ and ESPN.
When Is PFL World Tournament 5?
The PFL World Tournament 5 will go live on Thursday, June 12th, 2025. The Prelims get going at 7:30 pm EST, while you can tune into the main card starting at 10:00 pm EST.
Where Is PFL World Tournament 5?
The PFL World Tournament 5 Semifinals will be held at Nashville Municipal Auditorium in Nashville, Tennessee.
PFL World Tournament Schedule
Check out the upcoming 2025 PFL World Tournament schedule:
- April 3: 2025 PFL World Tournament 1: First Round
- April 11: 2025 PFL World Tournament 2: First Round
- April 18: 2025 PFL World Tournament 3: First Round
- May 1: 2025 PFL World Tournament 4: First Round
- June 12: 2025 PFL World Tournament 5: Semifinals
- June 20: 2025 PFL World Tournament 6: Semifinals
- June 27: 2025 PFL World Tournament 7: Semifinals
- August 12: 2025 PFL World Tournament 8: Finals
- August 15: 2025 PFL World Tournament 9: Finals
- August 21: 2025 PFL World Tournament 10: Finals
PFL World Tournament 5 Main Card Odds
Check out the latest PFL World Tournament 5 odds for the Main Card, courtesy of the top sports betting sites:
| PFL Favorite | PFL Underdog | PFL Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Jackson (-220) | Thad Jean (+180) | Jason Jackson (-220) |
| Jesus Pinedo (-205) | Gabriel Braga (+165) | Jesus Pinedo (-205) |
| Logan Storley (-725) | Masayuki Kikuiri (+525) | Logan Storley (-725) |
| Movlid Khaybulaev (-215) | Tae Kyun Kim (+175) | Movlid Khaybulaev (-215) |
The PFL World Tournament 5 semifinals odds are pretty appealing, as three of the four main card bouts are somewhat in question. Jason Jackson, Jesus Pinedo, and Movlid Khaybulaev are all clear favorites, but their fights are priced decently enough that an upset wouldn’t be that shocking.
There is some value to be had here, so betting on at least one main card upset could make sense. No matter what you do, I don’t think I’d suggest going against Logan Storyley. He is an insane -725 betting favorite and fully expected to advance.
In fact, I wouldn’t waste my time with his fight at all, short of finding some PFL World Tournament 5 prop bets and betting on him to win inside the distance.
Ready to bet on the PFL World Tournament 5 semifinals main card? You can roll with my PFL World Tournament 5 semifinals predictions above, or get some extra advice from some of the best handicappers you’ll find online.
PFL World Tournament 5 Predictions For The Main Card
The PFL 5 main card can be viewed on ESPN+ and ESPN2 starting at 9:00 pm EST.
Jason Jackson (-220) vs. Thad Jean (+180)
We get a really good main event in the PFL 2 semifinals, as Jason Jackson (19-5) will try to keep rolling towards a PFL title. He got tripped up not too long ago against Ramazan Kuramagomev, but he did bounce back nicely this past April by choking out Andrey Koreshkov.
Jackson is the favorite here due to his experience and versatility. Prior to dropping that Decision to Ramazan, he was riding a blistering eight-fight winning streak, while he hasn’t been finished since sustaining an ankle injury way back in 2017.
Age could be a factor here, of course. Jackson is now 34, and he will be taking on a rising up and comer in Thad Jean (9-0), who has been rather dominant (5 KOs) so far. Obviously the experience and skill-set edge still lies with the older Jackson, but Jean is a very compelling PFL underdog pick to consider.
I think Jean is a live underdog, but he also has to earn his stripes. I don’t think Jackson is done just yet, so I like him to get past Jean. A KO is far from a lock, but the -220 price to simply bet on the better fighter to get the victory feels like solid value.
Bet: Jason Jackson (-220)
Jesus Pinedo (-205) vs. Gabriel Braga (+165)
Is there a chance we get elite betting value with Gabriel Braga at the PFL 2 semifinals? I do think it’s possible, as Braga (16-2) has been quite good, scoring seven KO wins in his career and only being finished once.
Braga also knows Pinedo quite well. He beat him back in 2023, and got TKO’d by him not too long ago.
His recent form is a bit spotty, of course. He’s won two straight, but he got tripped up by Timur Khizriev last August, and of course he lost to Pinedo in November of 2023.
There’s always the chance at payback, as we know, but it’s a bit damning that Pinedo comes in as Braga’s lone KO loss of his career. Braga has also taken a mild step back in general following a 12-0 start, but he’s done well to end fights early, with finishes in four of his last five wins.
Much like I am OK with betting on Jean if you’re feeling saucy, I do think Braga is in this one and has a chance to score the upset. However, Pinedo is the superior fighter, he easily won the first meeting, and he has a laundry list of knockouts (15).
Pinedo has also been in fantastic form. The 28-year old has registered KO wins in each of his last four fights, while his only defeat since 2019 was a Decision loss to his PFL 2 semifinals opponent.
A trilogy fight is never easy to peg, but I find it hard not to side with Pinedo. He is a bit more versatile, his form is more impressive, and his resume is better. A third meeting can go either way, so this is one I wouldn’t mind being on both sides of in some regard.
That said, if you want to know who wins, I think Pinedo gets it done.
Bet: Jesus Pinedo (-205)
Logan Storley (-725) vs. Masayuki Kikuiri (+525)
This is the easiest PFL 2 pick of the main card. Logan Storley (17-3) is a former Bellator champion and a bruising KO artist (9 KOs) who has little give to his game. He’s not a threat to win via submission, but he can grind anyone he faces to a pulp, and he can absorb loads of punishment.
Storley’s power, physicality, and defense combine to make him an impossible out. He’s also in good form, as he’s coming off a victory against Joseph Luciano and is 3-1 over his last four. He did display some vulnerability not too long ago when Shamil Musaev TKO’d him, but Masayuki Kikuiri is not on the same level.
Kikuiri (11-2-1) has a decent record and is riding a five-fight winning streak. He also has plenty of knockouts (8) under his belt, but he simply doesn’t have the experience against top flight competition like Storley does.
You can take a shot at a random upset, but it isn’t likely to happen. I love Storley to get the win and would be comfortable betting on a KO.
Bet: Logan Storley (-725)
Movlid Khaybulaev (-215) vs. Tae Kyun Kim (+175)
The main issue with betting on someone like Movlid Khaybulaev is that he doesn’t get many finishes. He has a near-perfect record at 22-0-1, but he has just nine career wins via stoppage.
Of course, it could go the other way, too. Movlid has literally never lost, which means finishing him in any regard is a tall order. He also has fantastic defense and knows how to take punches, while he inflicts major damage, as his 13 career Decision wins can attest to.
Khaybulaev is versatile and highly experienced, as he comes into his meeting with Tae Kyun Kim riding a nice eight-fight winning streak. He’s had some hiccups before that, but with zero losses on his ledger across 23 bouts, he is difficult to bet against.
The element of surprise is still there, though, especially considering Movlid is now 34. Tae Kyun Kim (11-2) got a nice submission win over Nathan Kelly in his last fight and brings arguably superior finishing ability, as well as similar toughness, to the table.
Once again, I wouldn’t blame you for taking a stab at an upset here, as Kyun Kim has a solid price and he has the skill-set to deliver the unexpected. But Movlid has seen it all and he’s never been stopped. I see no reason to bet against him now, especially when his odds to win are pretty inviting.
Bet: Movlid Khaybulaev (-215)
PFL World Tournament 5 Preliminary Odds
Check out the latest PFL World Tournament 5 odds for the Preliminary Card, courtesy of the top sports betting sites:
| PFL Favorite | PFL Underdog | PFL Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Borics (-180) | Jeremy Kennedy (+150) | Jeremy Kennedy (+150) |
| Magomed Umalatov (-1205) | Anthony Ivy (+755) | Magomed Umalatov (-1205) |
| Joseph Luciano (-290) | Sarek Shields (+230) | Joseph Luciano (-290) |
| Mukhamed Berkhamov (-260) | Kendly St. Louis (+200) | Kendly St. Louis (+200) |
| Alexei Pergande (-701) | Mike Bardsley (+501) | Alexei Pergande (-701) |
| Jason Danner (-300) | Nathan Gilmore (+240) | Jason Danner (-300) |
The PFL World Tournament 5 Prelims are a little less chaotic than the main card, at least at first glance. If you thought Storley had an insane price, watch out; Magomed Umalatov is an unfathomable -1205 to beat Anthony Ivy.
There’s more, as Alexei Pergande is our third PFL World Tournament 5 favorite at -700 or greater. All of these fighters are fantastic bets to win, but their odds make betting on them a waste of time. I obviously think they will win, but you should entertain going for an upset or chasing their method of victory.
Fortunately, the rest of the PFL World Tournament 5 Prelims bouts are reasonably priced, so you can pick your spots and access some solid value if you hit.
PFL World Tournament 5 Predictions For The Preliminary Card
The PFL 5 Prelims get going at 7:30 pm EST on ESPN+.
Adam Borics (-180) vs. Jeremy Kennedy (+150)
I am rolling with the favorites on the main card, but I do think there’s some opportunity to take some shots. That said, the first underdog I feel reasonably confident in is Jeremy Kennedy (19-6).
His recent form isn’t cause for optimism, as Kennedy has dropped three fights in a row. That said, they’ve all been understandable losses, while he did go the distance against both Movlid Khaybulaev and Gabriel Braga.
Kennedy has had some rough losses in his career, but he is immensely battle tested and has finishing upside (7 KOs). Adam Borics (19-3) has the better record and is a bit more versatile, but it was Kennedy that got the upper hand when these two met in April of 2021.
Borics has enjoyed better form overall since then, but his last fight (a TKO defeat by the hands of Jesus Pinedo) wasn’t anything to write home about.
Given Kennedy’s win in the first meeting and his ability to stand tall against stiff competition of late, I like him as a +150 upset pick.
Bet: Jeremy Kennedy (+150)
Magomed Umalatov (-1205) vs. Anthony Ivy (+755)
Next up is the biggest PFL 2 semifinals betting favorite, as Magomed Umalatov (17-1) is an absurd price to beat Anthony Ivy (15-7).
This one needs little sales pitch, as Umalatov has one loss to his name, and it came in his last fight against Shamil Musaev, who is one of the best fighters in the game.
Beyond that, he was a perfect 17-0 with 11 knockouts. The man known as “Prince” has been an unstoppable force, and one loss to Musaev isn’t changing that. Ivy, on the other hand, has seven losses with five of them coming via early stoppage.
To his credit, Ivy is fairly versatile and is riding hot at the moment as a winner of seven straight fights. It is a remarkable turnaround, but Ivy is simply running into a buzzsaw in this one.
Bet: Magomed Umalatov (-1205)
Joseph Luciano (-290) vs. Sarek Shields (+230)
Another fight that feels pretty easy to call is this one where Joseph Luciano (9-3) is favored to top Sarek Shields (6-2). Luciano doesn’t have a ton of fights under his belt despite being 33, but he is a submission guru with a solid resume.
First off, he’s never been finished, while his only two losses since 2019 have come against Logan Storley and Jonathan Micallef. The Decision loss to Storley is obviously quite impressive, while Luciano preceded that with submissions of Steven Hill and Jonathan Veluz.
Shields also has solid ground game, but it’s not quite on Luciano’s level, and he also hasn’t faced the same level of competition. I respect Luciano’s grit and submission skills, so I don’t feel good about betting against him here.
Bet: Joseph Luciano (-290)
Mukhamed Berkhamov (-260) vs. Kendly St. Louis (+200)
We need to find some value worth betting on at some point in this card, and one spot I like it is with Kendly St. Louis (10-4). He’s a pretty versatile fighter that doesn’t let fights go the distance very often. For better or worse, nine of his 13 fights have ended early.
He will not have it easy against Mukhamed Berkjamov, who is a far more gifted submission artist (9 submissions), but not as versatile overall. St. Louis is in better form, though, as he’s won seven fights in a row, while his opponent has been up and down (2-2) over his last four.
I do respect Berkhamov’s floor game and think he’s in play to get a submission, but it’s worth noting that St. Louis has never been submitted. I am rolling with the more versatile fighter who has been red hot.
Bet: Kendly St. Louis (+200)
Alexei Pergane (-701) vs. Mike Bardsley (+501)
We have another massive betting favorite in Alexei Perange, who owns a staggering -701 moneyline for his bout against Mike Bardsley.
Pergane has only fought five times in professional MMA, but he’s won each time. You can certainly say the finishing ability or experience aren’t at a top level yet, but he is heavily favored to stay perfect in this one.
On the other side is Bardsley (5-1), who has a similar record, but may have already reached his ceiling at age 31. Pergane has a huge height and reach edge in this one (8 inches!) and is the far younger and more mobile fighter.
Bardsley could always deliver a shocker due to solid finishing ability and a general lack of experience by both parties, but that reach gap is telling.
Bet: Alexei Pergane (-701)
Jason Danner (-300) vs. Nathan Gilmore (+240)
Lastly, we have Danner (2-0) as a pretty hefty favorite despite fighting just twice professionally. To his credit, he scored a KO win both times, and he’ll be going up against a guy in Nathan Gilmore (4-5) who has a losing record.
You don’t see guys hanging around for long with losing MMA records, but at least Gilmore has some finishing upside (3 KOs) and has oddly enough only been finished once, himself.
Danner is still going to be the aggressor here, while he has a significant size and strength advantage on paper. There really is not a lot of tape for either of these guys, but the eye test definitely favors Danner to this point.
Bet: Jason Danner (-300)
The Best PFL World Tournament Picks
The following is our best PFL World Tournament semifinals picks for this week’s event:
- Jason Jackson (-220)
- Logan Storley via KO (N/A)
- Movlid Khaybulaev (-215)
I have not seen a Logan Storley knockout prop, but I know he’s winning this fight, and I also know I am not backing him at an obscene -725 price tag. Instead, I’ll hunt down a KO prop and bet on him to finish Masayuki Kikuiri with his fists.
If you want actual bets that presently exist at MMA sportsbooks, then go for Jason Jackson and Movlid Khaybulaev to get a win, respectively.
They both have really nice prices considering how likely they are to win and how talented they are. I feel more confident in Jackson, and if you want to double down, you could target a KO win for him as well.
You can use any of my PFL World Tournament 5 semifinals picks, but if you want some bets I feel very strongly about, I’d start with the trio above.
PFL Fight Card
Check out the updated PFL World Tournament 5 fight card:
| PFL Favorite | PFL Underdog | PFL Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Jackson (-220) | Thad Jean (+180) | Jason Jackson (-220) |
| Jesus Pinedo (-205) | Gabriel Braga (+165) | Jesus Pinedo (-205) |
| Logan Storley (-725) | Masayuki Kikuiri (+525) | Logan Storley (-725) |
| Movlid Khaybulaev (-215) | Tae Kyun Kim (+175) | Movlid Khaybulaev (-215) |
| Adam Borics (-180) | Jeremy Kennedy (+150) | Jeremy Kennedy (+150) |
| Magomed Umalatov (-1205) | Anthony Ivy (+755) | Magomed Umalatov (-1205) |
| Joseph Luciano (-290) | Sarek Shields (+230) | Joseph Luciano (-290) |
| Mukhamed Berkhamov (-260) | Kendly St. Louis (+200) | Kendly St. Louis (+200) |
| Alexei Pergande (-701) | Mike Bardsley (+501) | Alexei Pergande (-701) |
| Jason Danner (-300) | Nathan Gilmore (+240) | Jason Danner (-300) |
PFL World Tournament 1 Results
Here’s a quick recap of the PFL World Tournament 1 results:
PFL Welterweight Results
- Welterweight: Jason Jackson def. Andrey Koreshkov via 2nd rd. Submission
- Welterweight: Logan Storley def. Joseph Luciano via UD
- Welterweight: Thad Jean def. Mukhamed Berkhamov via 1st rd. KO
- Welterweight: Masayuki Kikuiri def. Giannis Bachar via 2nd rd. TKO
PFL Featherweight Results
- Featherweight: Jesus Pinedo def. Adam Borics via 1st rd. TKO
- Featherweight: Movlid Khaybulaev def. Jeremy Kennedy via SD
- Featherweight Gabriel Braga def. Frederik Dupras via 1st rd. Submission
- Featherweight: Tae Kyun Kim def. Nathan Kelly via 1st rd. Submission
PFL World Tournament 2 Results
Here’s a quick recap of the PFL World Tournament 2 results:
PFL Bantamweight Results
- Bantamweight: Marcirley Alves def. Leandro Higo via SD
- Bantamweight: Mando Gutierrez def. Francesco Nuzzi via 1st rd. Submission
- Bantamweight: Justin Wetzell def. Kasum Kasumov via UD
- Bantamweight: Jake Hadley def. Matheus Mattos via 3rd rd. Submission
PFL Women’s Flyweight Results
- Women’s Flyweight: Liz Carmouche def. Ilara Joanne via 1st rd. TKO
- Women’s Flyweight: Ekaterina Shakalova def. Juliana Velasquez via 1st rd. Submission
- Women’s Flyweight: Jena Bishop def. Kana Watanabe via UD
- Women’s Flyweight: Elora Dana def. Diana Avsaragova via 1st rd. Submission
PFL World Tournament 3 Results
Here’s a quick recap of the PFL World Tournament 3 results:
PFL Middleweight Results
- Middleweight: Fabian Edwards def. Impa Kasanganay via 2nd rd. TKO
- Middleweight: Dalton Rosta def. Sadibou Sy via submission via 2nd rd. Submission
- Middleweight First Round Bout: Josh Silveira def. Mike Shipman via UD
- Middleweight First Round Bout: Aaron Jeffery def. Murad Ramazanov via SD
PFL Lightweight Results
- Lightweight: Gadzhi Rabadanov def. Marc Diakiese via 1st rd. TKO
- Lightweight: Jay-Jay Wilson def. Mads Burnell via 3rd. TKO strikes
- Lightweight: Alfie Davis def. Clay Collard via 1st rd. TKO
- Lightweight: Brent Primus def. Vinicius Cenci via 3rd rd. Submission
PFL World Tournament 4 Results
Here’s a quick recap of the PFL World Tournament 4 results:
PFL Light Heavyweight Results
- Light Heavyweight: Phil Davis def. Rob Wilkinson 2nd rd. TKO
- Light Heavyweight: Antonio Carlos Junior def. Karl Moore via SD
- Light Heavyweight: Simeon Powell def. Karl Albrektsson 2nd rd. TKO
- Light Heavyweight: Sullivan Cauley def. Alex Polizzi 1st rd. TKO
PFL Heavyweight Results
- Heavyweight: Valentin Moldavsky def. Sergey Bilostenniy via UD
- Heavyweight: Alexander Romanov def. Timothy Johnson 1st rd. Submission
- Heavyweight: Oleg Popov def. Karl Williams via SD
- Heavyweight: Rodrigo Nascimento def. Abraham Bably via SD








